After Assad’s fall, most of its troops have withdrawn. Is Assad’s regime completely over?

Current situation in Syria

The government of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, which has dominated the country for more than a decade, is at a critical juncture. Reports suggest that most of Assad’s forces have withdrawn from key areas, raising questions about whether his government is nearing its end.

What is the reason for this development?

Conflict over the years:

• Syria has been embroiled in a brutal civil war since 2011 that has caused widespread destruction and loss of life and property.
• Assad’s government has struggled to maintain control amid battles with opposition groups, ISIS, and international coalitions.

International sanctions:

• Economic sanctions have weakened the government, making it difficult to continue military operations.
• Allies such as Russia and Iran have reduced their support due to their domestic challenges.

Military withdrawal:

• Reports suggest that there has been a significant withdrawal of the military from key areas, leaving vulnerable areas for opposition forces.
• This has led many to speculate that Assad’s grip on power is loosening.

Is Assad’s regime really over?

1. Opposition gains: Rebel groups and other factions are reportedly taking advantage of the power vacuum, and recapturing areas under Assad’s control.
2. Regime strongholds: Despite setbacks, Assad still holds key cities such as Damascus, and his government remains the internationally recognized authority in Syria.
3. Allied support: While diminished, Assad continues to receive some support from Iran and Russia, which could extend his grip on power.

Expert opinion

1. End of an era: Some analysts believe Assad’s regime is in its final stages, with military presence weakening and resources dwindling.
2. The long road ahead: Others argue that the regime could persist in a fragmented form, retaining some strongholds despite losing widespread control.

Impact on Syria

1. Humanitarian crisis: Ongoing instability has worsened Syria’s humanitarian situation, with millions of people displaced and in need of aid.
2. Regional implications: A potential collapse of Assad’s regime could trigger a power struggle that could have ramifications for neighboring countries and global geopolitics.

Final thoughts

While Assad’s regime faces unprecedented challenges, it cannot be completely overthrown. The situation is still fluid, and the coming months will determine whether this is the end of Assad’s rule or the beginning of a new phase in Syria’s complex history.